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Andrey Rublev vs Alex De Minaur Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Rublev vs Minaur analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Andrey Rublev vs Alex De Minaur Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Rublev 3 - 3 Minaur

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Rublev has won 56.98% of points on their second serve, while Minaur has won 56.18%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Rublev, in recent form, has won 52.04% of their opponent's second serve points, while Minaur has won 55.89%. The same stats for first serve returns are 28.87% and 34.92% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Rublev has saved 73.71% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Minaur has saved 61.34% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Rublev has won 68.83% of matches played (W/L 53/ 24), with Minaur winning 69.88% (W/L 58/ 25) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Rublev has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 66% (W/L 25/ 13), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 123/ 69). Minaur has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 67% (W/L 44/ 22), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 56% (W/L 64/ 50).
  • Player level: In the last year, Rublev has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 74.19% of matches (W/L 23/ 8), where as Minaur has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 71.05% of matches (W/L 27/ 11). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 6 times before with Rublev winning 3 times and Minaur being victorious 3 times. They have played 19 sets in total, with Rublev winning 9 and Minaur winning 10. The last match between Rublev and Minaur was at the ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam, 16-02-2024, Quarterfinals, I.hard with Alex De Minaur getting the victory 7-6(5) 4-6 6-3.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:30:34.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Rublev and Minaur have played a deciding set 5 times, with Rublev winning 3 times and Minaur 2 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 4 tiebreaks against each other with Rublev winning 0, and Minaur 4.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Rublev has played against opponents with an average rank of 96.92 while Minaur has played against players with an average rank of 84.43.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Rublev has won 71% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Minaur has won 70% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Rublev has converted 33.07% of breakpoint opportunities, and Minaur has converted 45.93% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
bet365
Andrey Rublev

21

Total

2

Mast

1

Chall

0

Slam

14

Main

4

Minor

6

Rank

5

High

26

Age

R

Plays

3

Total

3

1

Hard

1

1

Clay

0

1

Indoor

2

0

Grass

0

11

Rank

9

High

25

Age

R

Plays

Alex De Minaur

10

Total

0

Mast

1

Chall

0

Slam

8

Main

1

Minor

3

Total

3

1

Hard

1

1

Clay

0

1

Indoor

2

0

Grass

0

W W W W W W L W W L

Form

L W L L W W L W W W

65% (453-242)

Career Total W/L

63% (338-195)

71% (24-10)

YTD W/L

74% (28-10)

$15,589,270

Career Prize Money

$9,000,855

2

YTD Titles

1

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Rublev VS Minaur H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Andrey Rublev Alex De Minaur
All H2H Matches 3 3
Sets Won 9 10
Games Won 100 89
Aces (Total) 35 37
DFs (Total) 27 22
Avg Match Time 2:30:34 2:30:34
1st Serve % 62% (410/657) 57% (351/617)
1st Serve Win% 71% (290/410) 70% (245/351)
2nd Serve Win% 49% (120/247) 48% (128/266)
BPs Won% (Total) 42% (21/50) 25% (14/55)
Return Points W% 40% (244/617) 38% (247/657)
Best of 3 Sets W% 40% (2/5) 60% (3/5)
Best of 5 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/4) 100% (4/4)
Deciding Set Win% 60% (3/5) 40% (2/5)
1st set W, W 50% (2/1) 50% (4/2)
1st set W, L 50% (2/1) 50% (4/2)
1st set L, W 50% (4/2) 50% (2/1)

Rublev VS Minaur H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
7-6(5) 4-6 6-3
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Andrey Rublev
51% ( 57 of 111)
1st Serve %
66% ( 71 of 107)
10
Aces
7
4
Double Faults
4
77% ( 44 of 57)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 51 of 71)
52% ( 28 of 54)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 18 of 36)
33% ( 1 of 3)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
35% ( 39 of 111)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 38 of 107)
110
Total Points Won
108
6-4 6-7(5) 6-7(4) 6-3 6-0
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Alex De Minaur
59% ( 107 of 180)
1st Serve %
53% ( 85 of 161)
6
Aces
6
6
Double Faults
6
67% ( 72 of 107)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 54 of 85)
55% ( 40 of 73)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 38 of 76)
62% ( 8 of 13)
Break Points Won
19% ( 3 of 16)
38% ( 68 of 180)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 69 of 161)
181
Total Points Won
160
4-6 6-3 6-1
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Alex De Minaur
54% ( 43 of 79)
1st Serve %
60% ( 58 of 96)
4
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
3
72% ( 31 of 43)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 37 of 58)
58% ( 21 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 16 of 38)
33% ( 5 of 15)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 27 of 79)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 43 of 96)
95
Total Points Won
80
6-4 6-4
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Andrey Rublev
59% ( 32 of 54)
1st Serve %
54% ( 37 of 69)
3
Aces
7
4
Double Faults
3
88% ( 28 of 32)
1st Serve Won
81% ( 30 of 37)
55% ( 12 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 12 of 32)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
26% ( 14 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 27 of 69)
67
Total Points Won
56
2-6 6-1 6-4
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Alex De Minaur
75% ( 72 of 96)
1st Serve %
65% ( 52 of 80)
3
Aces
1
7
Double Faults
1
63% ( 45 of 72)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 33 of 52)
50% ( 12 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 12 of 28)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
25% ( 3 of 12)
41% ( 39 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 35 of 80)
92
Total Points Won
84
5-7 7-6(6) 6-4
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Andrey Rublev
58% ( 67 of 115)
1st Serve %
63% ( 80 of 126)
12
Aces
8
4
Double Faults
5
73% ( 49 of 67)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 61 of 80)
46% ( 22 of 48)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 17 of 46)
21% ( 3 of 14)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
38% ( 44 of 115)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 48 of 126)
119
Total Points Won
122

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Andrey Rublev Alex De Minaur
YTD W/L 71% (24/10) 74% (28/10)
Sets Win/Loss 63% (57/34) 69% (66/29)
Games Win/Loss 54% (500/429) 57% (497/369)
Hard Win/Loss 72% (13/5) 75% (15/5)
Clay Win/Loss 69% (9/4) 69% (9/4)
Indoor Hard W/L 67% (2/1) 80% (4/1)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.58 0.36
Aces Total 265 153
DFs per game 0.17 0.19
DFs Total 76 79
Avg Match Time 1:55:48 1:48:11
Avg Opp Rank 133.62 82.03
1st Serve % 63% (1745/2770) 55% (1397/2538)
1st Serve W% 76% (1333/1745) 72% (1002/1397)
2nd Serve W% 57% (584/1025) 56% (641/1141)
BPs Won% Total 33% (85/257) 46% (141/307)
Return Pts W% 38% (1112/2965) 43% (1210/2813)
Slam W/L 75% (6/2) 86% (6/1)
Masters W/L 67% (8/4) 64% (9/5)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 71% (10/4) 76% (13/4)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 72% (18/25) 70% (21/30)
Best of 5 Sets W% 67% (6/9) 88% (7/8)
TBs Win% (Total) 41% (7/17) 50% (4/8)
Deciding Set W% 82% (9/11) 56% (5/9)
1st set W, W 90% (20/18) 96% (23/22)
1st set W, L 10% (20/2) 4% (23/1)
1st set L, W 43% (14/6) 40% (15/6)

Andrey Rublev Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R3
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Andrey Rublev
68% ( 59 of 87)
1st Serve %
52% ( 64 of 123)
13
Aces
9
1
Double Faults
4
75% ( 44 of 59)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 46 of 64)
71% ( 20 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 25 of 59)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
26% ( 23 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 52 of 123)
116
Total Points Won
94
L
7-6(6) 6-2 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Pedro Martinez Portero
64% ( 54 of 85)
1st Serve %
66% ( 63 of 96)
10
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
4
80% ( 43 of 54)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 38 of 63)
61% ( 19 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 15 of 33)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
27% ( 23 of 85)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 43 of 96)
105
Total Points Won
76
W
6-3 6-4 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Taro Daniel
50% ( 65 of 129)
1st Serve %
46% ( 73 of 158)
17
Aces
10
9
Double Faults
6
89% ( 58 of 65)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 55 of 73)
56% ( 36 of 64)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 38 of 85)
33% ( 5 of 15)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 9)
27% ( 35 of 129)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 65 of 158)
159
Total Points Won
128
W
6-2 6-7(3) 6-3 7-5 H2H
R3
L
3-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Marcos Giron
53% ( 57 of 108)
1st Serve %
56% ( 57 of 102)
5
Aces
3
7
Double Faults
3
72% ( 41 of 57)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 36 of 57)
53% ( 27 of 51)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 21 of 45)
67% ( 6 of 9)
Break Points Won
42% ( 5 of 12)
37% ( 40 of 108)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 45 of 102)
113
Total Points Won
97
W
5-7 6-4 7-5 H2H
F
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
67% ( 61 of 91)
1st Serve %
68% ( 84 of 123)
7
Aces
14
5
Double Faults
5
77% ( 47 of 61)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 60 of 84)
60% ( 18 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 14 of 39)
27% ( 3 of 11)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
29% ( 26 of 91)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 49 of 123)
114
Total Points Won
100
W
4-6 7-5 7-5 H2H
SF
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Taylor Fritz
75% ( 46 of 61)
1st Serve %
55% ( 26 of 47)
5
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
0
83% ( 38 of 46)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 18 of 26)
40% ( 6 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 12 of 21)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
28% ( 17 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 17 of 47)
61
Total Points Won
47
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
74% ( 64 of 86)
1st Serve %
70% ( 57 of 81)
5
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
80% ( 51 of 64)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 34 of 57)
45% ( 10 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
71% ( 17 of 24)
23% ( 3 of 13)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
29% ( 25 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 30 of 81)
91
Total Points Won
76
W
4-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
R4
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Tallon Griekspoor
77% ( 33 of 43)
1st Serve %
72% ( 41 of 57)
8
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
1
97% ( 32 of 33)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 26 of 41)
40% ( 4 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 7 of 16)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
16% ( 7 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 24 of 57)
60
Total Points Won
40
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
73% ( 55 of 75)
1st Serve %
77% ( 66 of 86)
5
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
69% ( 38 of 55)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 43 of 66)
75% ( 15 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 10 of 20)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
29% ( 22 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 33 of 86)
86
Total Points Won
75
W
7-6(10) 6-4 H2H

Alex De Minaur Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R3
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Jan-Lennard Struff
60% ( 84 of 141)
1st Serve %
51% ( 54 of 105)
5
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
6
65% ( 55 of 84)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 31 of 54)
51% ( 29 of 57)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 30 of 51)
70% ( 7 of 10)
Break Points Won
27% ( 4 of 15)
40% ( 57 of 141)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 44 of 105)
128
Total Points Won
118
W
4-6 6-4 6-3 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Jaume Antoni Munar Clar
47% ( 38 of 81)
1st Serve %
52% ( 51 of 99)
1
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
12
79% ( 30 of 38)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 34 of 51)
58% ( 25 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 18 of 48)
54% ( 7 of 13)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
32% ( 26 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 47 of 99)
102
Total Points Won
78
W
7-5 6-1 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Alex Michelsen
52% ( 32 of 62)
1st Serve %
75% ( 61 of 81)
2
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
2
75% ( 24 of 32)
1st Serve Won
46% ( 28 of 61)
67% ( 20 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 6 of 20)
62% ( 8 of 13)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
29% ( 18 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 47 of 81)
91
Total Points Won
52
W
6-1 6-0 6-2 H2H
R4
cross
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Alex De Minaur
69% ( 27 of 39)
1st Serve %
66% ( 27 of 41)
0
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
1
74% ( 20 of 27)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 13 of 27)
83% ( 10 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
23% ( 9 of 39)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 23 of 41)
53
Total Points Won
27
L
6-1 6-2 H2H
R3
W
6-7(2) 6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Roberto Carballes Baena
57% ( 27 of 47)
1st Serve %
63% ( 35 of 56)
4
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
5
74% ( 20 of 27)
1st Serve Won
40% ( 14 of 35)
55% ( 11 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 9 of 21)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 16 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 33 of 56)
64
Total Points Won
39
W
6-3 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Alex De Minaur
73% ( 45 of 62)
1st Serve %
66% ( 44 of 67)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
71% ( 32 of 45)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 29 of 44)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 12 of 23)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 21 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 26 of 67)
67
Total Points Won
62
L
7-6(6) 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Arthur Fils
Player
Alex De Minaur
61% ( 34 of 56)
1st Serve %
59% ( 41 of 69)
4
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
71% ( 24 of 34)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 25 of 41)
55% ( 12 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 11 of 28)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
36% ( 20 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 33 of 69)
69
Total Points Won
56
L
7-5 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
52% ( 28 of 54)
1st Serve %
68% ( 50 of 73)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
75% ( 21 of 28)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 29 of 50)
65% ( 17 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
30% ( 16 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 36 of 73)
74
Total Points Won
53
W
7-5 6-1 H2H
QF
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Alex De Minaur
66% ( 42 of 64)
1st Serve %
42% ( 30 of 71)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
64% ( 27 of 42)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 18 of 30)
59% ( 13 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 20 of 41)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
38% ( 24 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 33 of 71)
73
Total Points Won
62
L
7-5 6-4 H2H

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